Interesting point by William Galston regarding Trump and the Republicans. He makes the case that Reaganism, and what Reagan strongly believed in was dead.
In some cases, he is correct. The Republicans have lost the fight on a lot of the social issues. On gay marriage, they were on the wrong side of history. The Republicans are most certainly correct that the break down in the idea of family has destroyed a lot of what makes America great.
In Michael Lotus book, America 3.0, he makes the historical case that the idea of the Germanic family was key to the success of both England and America. I agree with a lot of what he says about the historical underpinnings of the family unit, and what it meant to the development of America.
Government policy intended to shore up the family but wound up destroying it. Over and over again, I am seeing articles about millennials living with their parents until their late 20s. Out of wedlock births are significantly higher than they were when the war on poverty started.
Reagan cobbled together a winning coalition that won the presidency by a landslide. On the surface, it looked like social issues made that coalition hang together but the truth is it was economics. Reagan knew what was wrong with America and he offered a message of hope. Galston is correct when he writes, In President Reagan’s first inaugural address, he declared that “In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.” But Galston, like most Democrats, wrongly assumes that the bulk of the Republican party is social issues first. That’s simply not true in this day and age.
Reagan was correct in his initial inaugural address and he is correct now.
What has America seen since 2000? A gigantic increase in government. President Bush was no small government conservative and Obama is obviously not one. The wave that is behind Trump was also the wave that elected Democrats to the House in 2006. They learned the big government lessons under Reagan. Big government is destroying our economy. Bad public policy set by the White House, combined with bad banking policy set by the Federal Reserve has created a two or even three track economy. For the wealthy that have the means and wherewithal to take advantage of the policies, things are okay. Maybe 5% GDP growth. The upper middle class sometimes can take advantage, and sometimes not. The middle class is getting killed. Their GDP is around 1-2%. The underclass has it better than they did before because transfer payments have gone up-but let’s not fool ourselves and think they are placated and complacent. No one grows up with the goal that they are going to be a part of a permanent underclass.
Only two Presidential candidates on the Republican side were speaking to this. Trump and Rubio, albeit in different ways. Bernie Sanders is speaking to this, but his solution is 100% incorrect.
Trump is no Reagan. To be honest, I don’t know exactly what Trump stands for. I know he is a businessperson. Good businesspeople have some core principles, and are highly flexible. In a Trump presidency, it’s going to be all about the people that are around him and if they are good “brokers”. I don’t mean brokers in the way you are probably thinking, but brokers in the way Professor Ron Burt defines it.
People that put themselves between networks and carry information back and forth. Good brokers are transparent, and they are great listeners. I also think Trump will actively negotiate with Democrats. That scares the hell out of Republicans. Republicans and Democrats have firmed each of their bases by being parties of no.
America has a lot of fear driving through it today. This is not dissimilar from 1979. Economic fear. Fear of how to make a living in the future. Foreign policy fear and terrorism. These are Hierarchy of Needs fears and currently our government only cares about who is on the $20 bill.
I know exactly what Hillary will bring and I am against virtually all of it. If big government hasn’t solved any of our problems, how is bigger government going to do it better? Crony capitalism doesn’t work. Her brand of corruption is especially toxic. Economic fascism. Her policy in the Middle East was terrible. Her ideas about Russia and China are backward. The only benefit that Hillary brings is being the first female President and that’s not enough.
Yup, like most Americans I am generally disgusted by this Presidential race. The establishments in both parties need to get blown up and the government for the people by the people needs to start acting in the best interests of the bulk of the people.
On Twitter I am getting a little pushback that this is an endorsement of Trump. I want to be clear that I am not endorsing Trump. But, I didn’t care for any of the Republican candidates once we got to the final three.
When I travel, I am meeting Trump people. He speaks to the middle class better than any other candidate and at least empathizes with their fears. He is not graceful or particularly eloquent. In my blue city if I run into a Republican that is out of the closet, they are not Trump supporters and are very unsatisfied with the final three. Interesting, because last August the right wing press was touting all the incredible talent on the stage.